All Suburbs

Phillip Bay

NSW 2036LGA: Randwick

Investment Score

78

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Phillip Bay is an exclusive waterfront locality in Sydney's Eastern Suburbs, situated within Randwick City Council area. This premium residential enclave offers direct access to Botany Bay and commands some of the highest property values in the region due to its waterfront position and proximity to the CBD. The area is characterized by low-density residential development with larger blocks accommodating luxury homes and premium apartments. With limited commercial amenities, residents typically travel to nearby suburbs for shopping and services, while enjoying immediate access to waterfront recreation and being within easy reach of Eastern Suburbs beaches. The suburb attracts affluent professionals and established families seeking a prestigious address with natural amenities. Transport options are primarily road-based, with limited public transport requiring connections to major routes. The property market remains strong despite low turnover due to limited stock, with waterfront properties commanding significant premiums. Investment appeal is driven by scarcity value and the enduring desirability of waterfront Eastern Suburbs locations.

Strengths

  • Prime waterfront location with direct Botany Bay access
  • Prestigious Eastern Suburbs address with high property values
  • Low-density residential character with larger block sizes
  • Close proximity to Sydney CBD and airport

Opportunities

  • Potential for luxury residential redevelopment projects
  • Growing demand for waterfront lifestyle properties
  • Infrastructure improvements in broader Eastern Suburbs
  • Increasing appeal of work-from-home waterfront locations

Considerations

  • Limited local commercial amenities and shopping options
  • Restricted public transport connectivity
  • High property prices creating affordability barriers
  • Small suburb size limiting housing stock availability

Property Market

Median House

$2.15M

+4.2% 1yr

Median Unit

$1.75M

+3.8% 1yr

Median Townhouse

$1.95M

Rent (House)

$1,150/wk

Rent (Unit)

$950/wk

Days on Market

42

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

72.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+4.2%+18.5%+35.2%
Unit+3.8%+16.2%+32.1%

Rental Yields

House Yield

2.8%

Unit Yield

3.2%

Townhouse Yield

3.0%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score78/100
Growth Potential75/100
Cashflow Score62/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)75/100
Affordability Index45/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 2.10

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Phillip Bay at median house price

Standard transfer
$100,640
First Home Buyer
$100,640
Foreign buyer surcharge
$172,000

+8% surcharge

Annual rent income
$59,800

$1150/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$111,800
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$53,750
Net rental position
-$105,750

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$41,243

Reduces taxable income

After-tax holding cost
$64,508/yr

~$1,241/week

Based on 7.0% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), 50% CGT discount, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$3.02M
Capital gain
$759,737
After discount
$379,868
CGT payable
$148,149

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$4.25M
Capital gain
$1.98M
After discount
$991,911
CGT payable
$386,845

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$100,640

After-tax yield

1.71%

Weekly holding cost

$1241/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$386,845

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). Individual circumstances vary. This is general information only and not personal financial advice. Consult your CPA before making investment decisions. Local Knowledge Pty Ltd — Registered Tax Agent.

Demographics

Population

450

Median Age

42

Median Income

$145K

per annum

Family Households

68.0%

Professionals

52.0%

University Educated

48.0%

Unemployment

3.2%

Born Overseas

35.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 65%Units: 28%Townhouses: 7%Total: 185

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability45/100
Public Transport4/10
Schools Rating7/10
Safety9/10
Family Friendly8/10
Cafes & Restaurants

8

Parks

6

Hospitals

1

Distance to CBD

13.0 km

Nearest Station: Green Square Station

Premium waterfront living with access to boating, fishing, and water sports, complemented by proximity to Eastern Suburbs beaches and recreational facilities.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 28 March 2026.

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