All Suburbs

Little Bay

NSW 2036LGA: Randwick City

Investment Score

78

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Little Bay is a premium coastal suburb in Sydney's eastern suburbs, offering an enviable beachfront lifestyle just 14km from the CBD. With a population of 4,200 and median age of 42, it attracts professionals and families seeking coastal living with urban convenience. The suburb is dominated by apartments and units (68% of dwellings), reflecting significant new development activity that has transformed the area. Property values are strong, with median house prices at $1.85M and units at $920K, supported by the coastal location and proximity to amenities like Prince of Wales Hospital and UNSW. The community enjoys excellent safety ratings, beautiful beaches, and recreational facilities including NSW Golf Club. While public transport options are limited to bus services, the suburb compensates with high walkability scores and direct beach access. Investment fundamentals are solid with low vacancy rates (1.8%), strong rental yields, and consistent capital growth driven by the premium coastal position and ongoing development.

Strengths

  • Premium coastal location with direct beach access and scenic views
  • Strong property fundamentals with consistent capital growth and low vacancy rates
  • High safety ratings and family-friendly environment with quality amenities
  • Proximity to major medical facilities (Prince of Wales Hospital) and UNSW

Opportunities

  • Continued gentrification and development of remaining sites
  • Infrastructure improvements along Anzac Parade corridor enhancing connectivity
  • Growing appeal to downsizers and retirees seeking coastal lifestyle
  • Potential for premium rental returns from proximity to hospitals and university

Considerations

  • Limited public transport options with bus-only services to major hubs
  • Higher property prices creating affordability barriers for first-time buyers
  • Limited local shopping requiring travel to Eastgardens or Maroubra for major retail
  • Parking constraints during peak beach season and in new developments

Property Market

Median House

$1.85M

+8.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$920K

+7.2% 1yr

Median Townhouse

$1.35M

Rent (House)

$1,150/wk

Rent (Unit)

$720/wk

Days on Market

32

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

74.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+8.5%+22.3%+38.7%
Unit+7.2%+19.8%+35.4%

Rental Yields

House Yield

3.2%

Unit Yield

4.1%

Townhouse Yield

3.6%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score78/100
Growth Potential82/100
Cashflow Score72/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)72/100
Affordability Index52/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 1.80

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Little Bay at median house price

Standard transfer
$84,140
First Home Buyer
$84,140
Foreign buyer surcharge
$148,000

+8% surcharge

Annual rent income
$59,800

$1150/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$96,200
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$46,250
Net rental position
-$82,650

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$32,234

Reduces taxable income

After-tax holding cost
$50,417/yr

~$970/week

Based on 7.7% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), 50% CGT discount, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$2.69M
Capital gain
$742,304
After discount
$371,152
CGT payable
$144,749

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$3.90M
Capital gain
$1.96M
After discount
$977,752
CGT payable
$381,323

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$84,140

After-tax yield

1.95%

Weekly holding cost

$970/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$381,323

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). Individual circumstances vary. This is general information only and not personal financial advice. Consult your CPA before making investment decisions. Local Knowledge Pty Ltd — Registered Tax Agent.

Demographics

Population

4,200

Median Age

42

Median Income

$95K

per annum

Family Households

58.0%

Professionals

52.0%

University Educated

48.0%

Unemployment

3.2%

Born Overseas

38.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 25%Units: 68%Townhouses: 7%Total: 1,850

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability72/100
Public Transport6/10
Schools Rating7/10
Safety8/10
Family Friendly8/10
Cafes & Restaurants

12

Parks

8

Hospitals

2

Distance to CBD

14.0 km

Nearest Station: Maroubra Junction

Premium coastal living with direct beach access, golf course, coastal walks, and proximity to cafes and recreational facilities, balanced with easy access to major medical and educational institutions.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 27 March 2026.

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