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Lilli Pilli

NSW 2229LGA: Sutherland Shire

Investment Score

78

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Lilli Pilli is an exclusive waterfront suburb in Sydney's Sutherland Shire, renowned for its premium location on Port Hacking and Gunnamatta Bay. This prestigious pocket attracts affluent families and retirees seeking tranquil waterfront living just 30km from Sydney CBD. The suburb features predominantly detached homes on generous blocks, with many properties boasting water views and private jetties. Limited housing stock and geographic constraints maintain exclusivity and support strong capital growth. The community enjoys excellent water recreation opportunities, bushland reserves, and a village-like atmosphere despite proximity to urban amenities. While public transport options are limited, residents benefit from low crime rates, quality schools nearby, and easy access to Cronulla's beaches and shopping. The area's natural beauty, combined with its established character and scarcity value, makes it highly sought-after among discerning buyers seeking a premium lifestyle location.

Strengths

  • Premium waterfront location with Port Hacking access
  • Strong capital growth and property value stability
  • Exclusive low-density residential character
  • Excellent water recreation and boating facilities

Opportunities

  • Waterfront property development potential
  • Growing demand for premium lifestyle locations
  • Infrastructure improvements in Sutherland Shire
  • Increasing interest in water-access properties

Considerations

  • Limited public transport connectivity
  • High car dependency for daily needs
  • Premium price point limiting affordability
  • Limited local shopping and dining options

Property Market

Median House

$2.35M

+8.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$1.45M

+6.2% 1yr

Rent (House)

$1,400/wk

Rent (Unit)

$1,150/wk

Days on Market

38

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

75.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+8.5%+28.5%+42.5%
Unit+6.2%+22.8%+35.2%

Rental Yields

House Yield

3.1%

Unit Yield

4.2%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score78/100
Growth Potential82/100
Cashflow Score58/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)72/100
Affordability Index42/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 2.10

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Lilli Pilli at median house price

Standard transfer
$111,640
First Home Buyer
$111,640
Foreign buyer surcharge
$188,000

+8% surcharge

Annual rent income
$72,800

$1400/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$122,200
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$58,750
Net rental position
-$108,150

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$42,179

Reduces taxable income

After-tax holding cost
$65,972/yr

~$1,269/week

Based on 8.5% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), 50% CGT discount, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$3.53M
Capital gain
$1.06M
After discount
$530,102
CGT payable
$206,740

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$5.31M
Capital gain
$2.84M
After discount
$1.42M
CGT payable
$553,785

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$111,640

After-tax yield

1.89%

Weekly holding cost

$1269/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$553,785

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). Individual circumstances vary. This is general information only and not personal financial advice. Consult your CPA before making investment decisions. Local Knowledge Pty Ltd — Registered Tax Agent.

Demographics

Population

1,200

Median Age

47

Median Income

$145K

per annum

Family Households

68.0%

Professionals

52.0%

University Educated

48.0%

Unemployment

3.2%

Born Overseas

28.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 85%Units: 12%Townhouses: 3%Total: 485

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability45/100
Public Transport4/10
Schools Rating8/10
Safety9/10
Family Friendly8/10
Cafes & Restaurants

3

Parks

6

Hospitals

1

Distance to CBD

30.0 km

Nearest Station: Cronulla Station

Premium waterfront living with boating, water sports, bushwalking, and easy access to beaches and recreational facilities

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 27 March 2026.

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