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Kyle Bay

NSW 2221LGA: Georges River Council

Investment Score

78

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Kyle Bay is an exclusive waterside suburb in the Georges River Council area, located 24km south of Sydney CBD. This small, prestigious residential enclave is renowned for its direct Georges River frontage and boat access, making it highly sought after by affluent families and water enthusiasts. The suburb features predominantly detached homes on generous blocks, with many properties offering waterfront or water views that command significant premiums. With limited commercial development and strict zoning, Kyle Bay maintains its quiet, residential character while relying on nearby Kogarah and Hurstville for shopping and services. The area attracts high-income professionals seeking a peaceful retreat with recreational boating opportunities, excellent schools nearby, and proximity to Carss Park. Transport is primarily car-dependent with limited public transport options, though this contributes to the suburb's exclusive appeal. The property market is characterized by low turnover, strong capital growth potential, and premium pricing driven by waterfront location and scarcity of available land.

Strengths

  • Exclusive waterfront location with direct Georges River access
  • Premium property values and strong capital growth potential
  • High-quality residential environment with large blocks
  • Excellent recreational amenities including boating and water sports

Opportunities

  • Continued premium property appreciation due to waterfront scarcity
  • Potential infrastructure improvements in broader Georges River area
  • Growing demand for lifestyle properties post-COVID
  • Possible luxury development opportunities on larger blocks

Considerations

  • Limited public transport connectivity requiring car dependency
  • Minimal local commercial amenities and services
  • High property prices limiting affordability
  • Flood risk considerations due to waterfront location

Property Market

Median House

$2.85M

+8.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$1.25M

+6.2% 1yr

Rent (House)

$1,550/wk

Rent (Unit)

$650/wk

Days on Market

45

Vacancy Rate

1.2%

Auction Clearance

75.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+8.5%+22.0%+45.0%
Unit+6.2%+18.5%+38.0%

Rental Yields

House Yield

2.8%

Unit Yield

4.2%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score78/100
Growth Potential82/100
Cashflow Score55/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)75/100
Affordability Index35/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 2.80

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Kyle Bay at median house price

Standard transfer
$139,140
First Home Buyer
$139,140
Foreign buyer surcharge
$228,000

+8% surcharge

Annual rent income
$80,600

$1550/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$148,200
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$71,250
Net rental position
-$138,850

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$54,152

Reduces taxable income

After-tax holding cost
$84,699/yr

~$1,629/week

Based on 9.0% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), 50% CGT discount, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$4.39M
Capital gain
$1.38M
After discount
$690,844
CGT payable
$269,429

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$6.75M
Capital gain
$3.74M
After discount
$1.87M
CGT payable
$730,001

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$139,140

After-tax yield

1.71%

Weekly holding cost

$1629/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$730,001

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). Individual circumstances vary. This is general information only and not personal financial advice. Consult your CPA before making investment decisions. Local Knowledge Pty Ltd — Registered Tax Agent.

Demographics

Population

850

Median Age

42

Median Income

$125K

per annum

Family Households

68.0%

Professionals

58.0%

University Educated

52.0%

Unemployment

3.2%

Born Overseas

35.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 85%Units: 12%Townhouses: 3%Total: 320

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability35/100
Public Transport4/10
Schools Rating8/10
Safety9/10
Family Friendly9/10
Cafes & Restaurants

3

Parks

4

Hospitals

2

Distance to CBD

24.0 km

Nearest Station: Kogarah Station

Premium waterfront lifestyle with boating, fishing, and water sports. Close to quality parks, recreational facilities, and easy access to broader Sydney amenities while maintaining peaceful residential character.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 27 March 2026.

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