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Gymea Bay

NSW 2227LGA: Sutherland Shire

Investment Score

78

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Gymea Bay is a premium waterfront suburb in the Sutherland Shire, located 26km south of Sydney CBD. This small, established residential enclave is renowned for its stunning Georges River frontage, featuring the popular Gymea Bay Baths tidal pool and marina facilities. The suburb attracts affluent families and retirees seeking a lifestyle location with water access while maintaining connectivity to Sydney via Gymea train station. Property values are supported by limited housing supply, waterfront proximity, and strong community amenities. The area offers a unique blend of natural beauty and urban convenience, with established homes and newer developments commanding premium prices due to water views and lifestyle appeal. Strong infrastructure including NBN connectivity and excellent transport links via the T4 Eastern Suburbs line make it attractive to professionals. The community enjoys access to sailing clubs, waterfront reserves, and the nearby Gymea shopping village, creating a desirable lifestyle destination within the Sutherland Shire.

Strengths

  • Premium waterfront location with Georges River frontage
  • Direct train access to Sydney CBD via T4 line
  • Established community with strong lifestyle amenities
  • Limited housing supply supporting property values

Opportunities

  • Potential for luxury residential redevelopment
  • Growing demand for waterfront lifestyle properties
  • Infrastructure improvements enhancing connectivity
  • Rental investment potential from professional tenants

Considerations

  • Higher property prices limiting affordability
  • Limited commercial and employment opportunities locally
  • Potential flood risk in low-lying waterfront areas
  • Traffic congestion during peak periods

Property Market

Median House

$1.65M

+8.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$850K

+6.8% 1yr

Median Townhouse

$1.20M

Rent (House)

$1,050/wk

Rent (Unit)

$670/wk

Days on Market

32

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

78.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+8.5%+22.0%+45.0%
Unit+6.8%+18.5%+38.0%

Rental Yields

House Yield

3.2%

Unit Yield

4.1%

Townhouse Yield

3.6%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score78/100
Growth Potential82/100
Cashflow Score68/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)72/100
Affordability Index45/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 2.10

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Gymea Bay at median house price

Standard transfer
$73,140
First Home Buyer
$73,140
Foreign buyer surcharge
$132,000

+8% surcharge

Annual rent income
$54,600

$1050/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$85,800
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$41,250
Net rental position
-$72,450

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$28,256

Reduces taxable income

After-tax holding cost
$44,195/yr

~$850/week

Based on 9.0% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), 50% CGT discount, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$2.54M
Capital gain
$807,340
After discount
$403,670
CGT payable
$157,431

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$3.91M
Capital gain
$2.17M
After discount
$1.09M
CGT payable
$424,078

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$73,140

After-tax yield

1.95%

Weekly holding cost

$850/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$424,078

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). Individual circumstances vary. This is general information only and not personal financial advice. Consult your CPA before making investment decisions. Local Knowledge Pty Ltd — Registered Tax Agent.

Demographics

Population

1,850

Median Age

47

Median Income

$95K

per annum

Family Households

68.0%

Professionals

52.0%

University Educated

48.0%

Unemployment

3.2%

Born Overseas

32.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 82%Units: 15%Townhouses: 3%Total: 785

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability65/100
Public Transport8/10
Schools Rating8/10
Safety9/10
Family Friendly9/10
Cafes & Restaurants

12

Parks

8

Hospitals

1

Distance to CBD

26.0 km

Nearest Station: Gymea Station

Waterfront living with sailing, swimming at tidal baths, marina access, parkland walks along Georges River, and close proximity to quality shopping and dining in nearby Gymea village.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 27 March 2026.

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