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Grose Vale

NSW 2753LGA: City of Hawkesbury

Investment Score

72

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Grose Vale is a small rural residential locality in NSW's Hawkesbury region, approximately 65km northwest of Sydney CBD. This exclusive enclave of 850 residents enjoys a peaceful rural lifestyle on large acreage properties, with a median land size of 8,500 sqm. The community attracts affluent professionals and families seeking privacy and space, reflected in the high median income of $95,000 and expensive median house price of $1,650,000. The suburb is characterized by equestrian properties, hobby farms, and luxury rural homes. With 95% separate houses and minimal commercial development, Grose Vale maintains its rural character while offering proximity to the Hawkesbury River and natural bushland. However, residents are heavily car-dependent (92%) due to limited public transport, typically traveling to Richmond or Windsor for services. The area appeals to those seeking a tree-change lifestyle within commuting distance of Sydney, though the high property values and limited amenities make it suitable primarily for affluent buyers seeking large rural properties.

Strengths

  • Exclusive rural lifestyle with large acreage properties averaging 8,500 sqm
  • High-income demographic with median annual income of $95,000
  • Strong property values with median house price of $1,650,000
  • Low crime environment with crime index of only 15/100

Opportunities

  • Growing demand for rural lifestyle properties post-COVID
  • Potential for eco-tourism and agritourism development
  • Increasing interest in equestrian facilities and hobby farming
  • Possible infrastructure improvements in broader Hawkesbury region

Considerations

  • Extremely poor public transport connectivity with score of 1/100
  • Limited local amenities requiring travel to Richmond/Windsor for services
  • High property prices creating affordability barriers for many buyers
  • Bushfire risk in rural bushland areas

Property Market

Median House

$1.65M

+6.2% 1yr

Median Unit

$850K

+4.5% 1yr

Rent (House)

$850/wk

Rent (Unit)

$680/wk

Days on Market

85

Vacancy Rate

1.2%

Auction Clearance

65.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+6.2%+18.5%+32.8%
Unit+4.5%+15.2%+28.3%

Rental Yields

House Yield

2.8%

Unit Yield

4.2%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score72/100
Growth Potential75/100
Cashflow Score58/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)65/100
Affordability Index45/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 1.80

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Grose Vale at median house price

Standard transfer
$73,140
First Home Buyer
$73,140
Foreign buyer surcharge
$132,000

+8% surcharge

Annual rent income
$44,200

$850/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$85,800
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$41,250
Net rental position
-$82,850

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$32,312

Reduces taxable income

After-tax holding cost
$50,539/yr

~$972/week

Based on 6.6% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), 50% CGT discount, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$2.27M
Capital gain
$535,628
After discount
$267,814
CGT payable
$104,447

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$3.11M
Capital gain
$1.38M
After discount
$691,690
CGT payable
$269,759

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$73,140

After-tax yield

1.71%

Weekly holding cost

$972/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$269,759

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). Individual circumstances vary. This is general information only and not personal financial advice. Consult your CPA before making investment decisions. Local Knowledge Pty Ltd — Registered Tax Agent.

Demographics

Population

850

Median Age

47

Median Income

$95K

per annum

Family Households

68.0%

Professionals

48.0%

University Educated

38.0%

Unemployment

3.2%

Born Overseas

32.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 95%Units: 2%Townhouses: 3%Total: 320

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability25/100
Public Transport1/10
Schools Rating6/10
Safety8/10
Family Friendly8/10
0
Parks

4

0
Distance to CBD

65.0 km

Nearest Station: Richmond Station

Rural lifestyle with emphasis on privacy, space, and connection to nature, popular with horse enthusiasts and hobby farmers

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 27 March 2026.

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