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Grays Point

NSW 2232LGA: Sutherland Shire

Investment Score

75

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Grays Point is an exclusive, low-density residential suburb in the Sutherland Shire, NSW, renowned for its premium waterfront properties and bushland setting. Located approximately 29km south of Sydney CBD, this prestigious enclave attracts affluent families and professionals seeking a lifestyle change, with properties typically featuring large blocks exceeding 800sqm. The suburb is characterized by its proximity to the Royal National Park, offering exceptional recreational opportunities including bushwalking trails and water access points. With a small population of around 1,200 residents, Grays Point maintains a strong community spirit through active residents' associations. The area faces challenges with limited public transport connectivity, requiring residents to drive to Loftus station (8km) or rely on bus services to Cronulla and Miranda. Commercial facilities are minimal, necessitating travel to nearby Miranda or Cronulla for shopping and services. The property market is influenced by limited housing stock due to bushfire-prone land restrictions, creating strong demand and premium pricing for available properties. Infrastructure includes adequate road networks despite some narrow streets due to bushland constraints, with NBN coverage exceeding 95%.

Strengths

  • Premium waterfront and bushland properties with large blocks
  • Proximity to Royal National Park for exceptional recreational opportunities
  • Strong community cohesion with active residents' associations
  • Low crime rates and safe family environment

Opportunities

  • Growing demand from downsizers seeking lifestyle properties
  • Potential for eco-tourism development near Royal National Park
  • Infrastructure improvements enhancing connectivity
  • Premium market positioning attracting high-end buyers

Considerations

  • Limited public transport connectivity requiring car dependency
  • Minimal local commercial facilities
  • Bushfire-prone land restrictions limiting development
  • Narrow streets in some areas due to bushland preservation

Property Market

Median House

$2.85M

+4.2% 1yr

Median Unit

$1.45M

+3.8% 1yr

Rent (House)

$1,550/wk

Rent (Unit)

$1,200/wk

Days on Market

42

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

72.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+4.2%+18.5%+35.8%
Unit+3.8%+16.2%+32.1%

Rental Yields

House Yield

2.8%

Unit Yield

4.2%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score75/100
Growth Potential72/100
Cashflow Score58/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)65/100
Affordability Index25/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 2.40

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Grays Point at median house price

Standard transfer
$139,140
First Home Buyer
$139,140
Foreign buyer surcharge
$228,000

+8% surcharge

Annual rent income
$80,600

$1550/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$148,200
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$71,250
Net rental position
-$138,850

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$54,152

Reduces taxable income

After-tax holding cost
$84,699/yr

~$1,629/week

Based on 7.2% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), 50% CGT discount, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$4.03M
Capital gain
$1.02M
After discount
$511,929
CGT payable
$199,652

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$5.69M
Capital gain
$2.69M
After discount
$1.34M
CGT payable
$524,041

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$139,140

After-tax yield

1.71%

Weekly holding cost

$1629/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$524,041

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). Individual circumstances vary. This is general information only and not personal financial advice. Consult your CPA before making investment decisions. Local Knowledge Pty Ltd — Registered Tax Agent.

Demographics

Population

1,200

Median Age

47

Median Income

$135K

per annum

Family Households

78.0%

Professionals

58.0%

University Educated

52.0%

Unemployment

3.2%

Born Overseas

35.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 92%Units: 6%Townhouses: 2%Total: 485

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability45/100
Public Transport3/10
Schools Rating7/10
Safety9/10
Family Friendly8/10
Cafes & Restaurants

2

Parks

8

0
Distance to CBD

29.0 km

Nearest Station: Loftus Station

Premium bushland and waterfront living with exceptional recreational opportunities, bushwalking trails, water activities, and close proximity to Royal National Park.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 26 March 2026.

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