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Canada Bay

NSW 2046LGA: City of Canada Bay

Investment Score

78

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Canada Bay, NSW 2046, is a sought-after inner-western suburb of Sydney, offering a blend of tranquil waterside living and urban convenience. With a population of approximately 4,200, the suburb is characterised by its leafy streets, proximity to the Parramatta River, and a strong sense of community. Residents enjoy a high median income of $95,000, reflecting the area's appeal to professionals and established families. The suburb boasts a solid walkability score of 75/100, making daily errands, recreational activities, and access to local cafes and parks both easy and enjoyable. Education is a strong point, with schools rated at 8.0/10, attracting families seeking quality learning environments. Safety is also a highlight, with an 8.0/10 rating, contributing to the suburb's family-friendly reputation. From a property market perspective, Canada Bay commands a median house price of $1,850,000 and a median unit price of $850,000, positioning it as a premium market within Sydney's inner west. The rental market remains robust, with a low vacancy rate of 1.8% and a house rental yield of 3.2%, indicating strong demand and stable returns for investors. The suburb's investment score of 78/100 and impressive growth potential of 82/100 suggest ongoing capital appreciation, underpinned by its desirable location just 10 km from the Sydney CBD. Lifestyle in Canada Bay is defined by access to waterfront parks, walking and cycling tracks, and a vibrant local dining scene. The suburb's blend of natural beauty and urban amenities makes it attractive to both owner-occupiers and investors. While property prices are relatively high, the area's consistent demand, quality infrastructure, and future growth prospects make it a compelling choice for those seeking long-term value in Sydney's property market.

Strengths

  • Proximity to Sydney CBD (10 km) offers excellent connectivity for commuters
  • High-quality schools with an 8.0/10 rating attract families
  • Strong safety rating (8.0/10) enhances community appeal
  • Robust investment and growth potential scores (78/100 and 82/100)

Opportunities

  • Potential for capital growth driven by ongoing demand and limited supply
  • Appeal to professionals and families seeking quality lifestyle close to the CBD
  • Scope for further development of local amenities and community facilities

Considerations

  • High median house and unit prices may limit affordability for first-home buyers
  • Rental yields (3.2%) are moderate compared to some outer suburbs
  • Limited population size may constrain future infrastructure expansion

Property Market

Median House

$1.85M

+8.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$850K

+6.8% 1yr

Median Townhouse

$1.45M

Rent (House)

$1,150/wk

Rent (Unit)

$780/wk

Days on Market

28

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

78.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+8.5%+22.0%+45.0%
Unit+6.8%+18.5%+38.0%

Rental Yields

House Yield

3.2%

Unit Yield

4.8%

Townhouse Yield

3.8%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score78/100
Growth Potential82/100
Cashflow Score68/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)72/100
Affordability Index45/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 1.80

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Canada Bay at median house price

Stamp Duty Estimate
Standard transfer
$84,140
First Home Buyer
$84,140
Foreign buyer surcharge
$148,000

+8% surcharge

Negative Gearing Position
Annual rent income
$59,800

$1150/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$96,200
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$46,250
Net rental position
-$82,650

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$32,234

Reduces taxable income

After-tax holding cost
$50,417/yr

~$970/week

Land Tax Exposure
Est. land value
$1.11M

~60% of median price

Individual threshold
$1,075,000

Annual: $660

Trust/company threshold
$25,000 (trust)

Annual: $17,460

CPA Note: Land tax applies to your total NSW land holdings, not individual properties. Portfolio holders should aggregate all investment land values.

CGT Projection

Based on 9.0% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), 50% CGT discount, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$2.85M
Capital gain
$903,064
After discount
$451,532
CGT payable
$176,098

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$4.38M
Capital gain
$2.44M
After discount
$1.22M
CGT payable
$475,065

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$84,140

After-tax yield

1.95%

Weekly holding cost

$970/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$475,065

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). This calculator provides estimates for illustrative purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, or investment advice. Results depend on assumptions that may not reflect your actual situation. Tax laws, interest rates, and market conditions change frequently. Always consult a qualified professional — such as a CPA, mortgage broker, or financial adviser — before making financial decisions. Ding Group provides integrated advisory through Local Knowledge (CPA), Ding Financial (Mortgage Brokerage), and Ding Real Estate (Licensed Agency).

Demographics

Population

4,200

Median Age

38

Median Income

$95K

per annum

Family Households

58.0%

Professionals

52.0%

University Educated

48.0%

Unemployment

4.2%

Born Overseas

42.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 45%Units: 48%Townhouses: 7%Total: 1,850

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability75/100
Public Transport7/10
Schools Rating8/10
Safety8/10
Family Friendly9/10
Cafes & Restaurants

15

Parks

6

Hospitals

1

Distance to CBD

10.0 km

Nearest Station: Concord West

Premium waterfront lifestyle with excellent recreational opportunities, quality dining and shopping, plus strong community events and activities along the Parramatta River.

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 26 April 2026.

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