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Box Hill

NSW 2765LGA: The Hills Shire

Investment Score

78

/100

AI Intelligence Summary

Box Hill, NSW 2765 is a rapidly growing residential suburb in Sydney's north-west, approximately 45km from the CBD. Part of the Hills District and North West Priority Growth Area, it has experienced significant development with new housing estates attracting young families and first-home buyers. The area offers a multicultural community with strong family demographics, featuring modern amenities including Box Hill Town Centre, quality schools, and extensive parks. With a median house price of $920,000, it provides relative affordability within the Hills District while benefiting from planned infrastructure improvements including potential Sydney Metro connections. The suburb combines suburban lifestyle with urban convenience, supported by good road connections and growing local amenities. Strong population growth and infrastructure investment position Box Hill as an emerging family-friendly destination with solid investment fundamentals.

Strengths

  • Strong infrastructure development and transport planning
  • Family-friendly environment with quality schools and parks
  • Relative affordability within the desirable Hills District
  • Significant population growth driving demand

Opportunities

  • Planned Sydney Metro Northwest extension
  • Continued population growth in North West Growth Area
  • Infrastructure upgrades including road improvements
  • Development of additional community facilities

Considerations

  • Limited public transport options currently
  • Distance from Sydney CBD
  • Newer suburb with limited established character
  • Reliance on car transport for most activities

Property Market

Median House

$1.25M

+12.5% 1yr

Median Unit

$680K

+8.5% 1yr

Median Townhouse

$950K

Rent (House)

$920/wk

Rent (Unit)

$580/wk

Days on Market

32

Vacancy Rate

1.8%

Auction Clearance

72.0%

Price Growth

Type1 Year3 Year5 Year
House+12.5%+28.0%+45.0%
Unit+8.5%+22.0%+35.0%

Rental Yields

House Yield

3.8%

Unit Yield

4.5%

Townhouse Yield

4.1%

Investment Scorecard

Overall Investment Score78/100
Growth Potential82/100
Cashflow Score68/100
Risk Score (lower = safer)72/100
Affordability Index72/100

Demand/Supply Ratio: 1.80

Demand exceeds supply — favourable for sellers

Tax & Financial Intelligence

CPA-grade analysis for Box Hill at median house price

Standard transfer
$51,140
First Home Buyer
$51,140
Foreign buyer surcharge
$100,000

+8% surcharge

Annual rent income
$47,840

$920/wk

Interest (80% LVR @ 6.5%)
-$65,000
Other expenses (~2.5%)
-$31,250
Net rental position
-$48,410

Negatively geared

Tax benefit (39% MTR)
+$18,880

Reduces taxable income

After-tax holding cost
$29,530/yr

~$568/week

Based on 9.0% p.a. growth (from 5-year trend), 50% CGT discount, 39% MTR

5-Year Hold

Est. value
$1.92M
Capital gain
$615,890
After discount
$307,945
CGT payable
$120,099

10-Year Hold

Est. value
$2.96M
Capital gain
$1.65M
After discount
$825,907
CGT payable
$322,104

Investor Quick Summary

Entry cost (stamp duty)

$51,140

After-tax yield

2.32%

Weekly holding cost

$568/wk

10yr CGT (est.)

$322,104

Estimates based on FY2025 NSW rates at median house price. Assumes 80% LVR, 6.5% interest rate, 39% marginal tax rate ($135K-$190K bracket). Individual circumstances vary. This is general information only and not personal financial advice. Consult your CPA before making investment decisions. Local Knowledge Pty Ltd — Registered Tax Agent.

Demographics

Population

8,500

Median Age

34

Median Income

$92K

per annum

Family Households

68.0%

Professionals

45.0%

University Educated

38.0%

Unemployment

4.2%

Born Overseas

48.0%

Dwelling Mix

Houses: 72%Units: 18%Townhouses: 10%Total: 3,200

Lifestyle & Community

Walkability65/100
Public Transport6/10
Schools Rating7/10
Safety8/10
Family Friendly9/10
Cafes & Restaurants

15

Parks

8

Hospitals

2

Distance to CBD

45.0 km

Nearest Station: Rouse Hill Metro Station

Family-focused suburban lifestyle with modern amenities, parks, shopping centres, quality schools, and growing cafe culture along Windsor Road

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Data sourced from multiple sources. Last updated 26 March 2026.

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